## October 22, 2012 Ohio Update

We have one new Ohio poll from Suffolk University to include in the mix. Their D/R/I is 39/35/27, and they do not break down support from Independents individually. It is in line with the other Ohio polls:R+8.50% - Using the 2004 turnout model

O+0.78% - Using the 2008 turnout model

R+5.34% - Using the 2010 turnout model

R+4.66% - Using the 2012 registration model

R+2.50% - Using a D+3 turnout model

When included with the other Ohio polls, the numbers don't change very much:

Polls included:

O+3 - Survey USA

O+1 - Rasmussen

Even - Gravis

O+5 -Quinnipiac

O+1 - PPP

O+3 - Fox

Even - Suffolk

O+1.86% - Current RCP Average

R+8.86% - Average using the 2004 turnout model

O+0.78% - Average using the 2008 turnout model

R+5.66% - Average using the 2010 turnout model

R+4.94% - Average using the 2012 registration model

R+2.79% - Average using the D+3 turnout model

Romney continues to lead in all reasonable turnout models.

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