October 3, 2012 Analysis
O+2 - Rasmussen Daily Track
O+3 - CNN/ORG
O+2 - ABC/WaPo
O+4 - Quinipiac
O+7 - NPR
Even - National Journal
O+3 - NBC/WSJ
O+3.00% - Current RCP Average
O+3.31% - Average using the 2008 turnout model
R+1.93% - Average using the 2010 turnout model
R+2.05% - Average using the 2004 turnout model
R+3.35% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model
RCP dropped a number of polls yesterday, including the Fox poll and the Zogby poll that I analyzed last night. I'm not sure why they dropped it, since they just added it yesterday. New polls included in the average include the National Journal and NPR polls.
Romney's advantage has increased across the board and is reflected in almost a full point of support on average across the 2010, 2004, and Rasmussen Party ID turnout models. At this point, Romney enjoys a healthy lead in the race, and would win the election handily if it were held today.